Comment on [Frame] Landed on the waitlist, two friends as well (Europe)
julianwgs@discuss.tchncs.de 5 hours agoWhat do you mean by worst case?
I cannot provide a good source (besides the book “How to measure anything”) for this, but probably 50 random participants would be enough to provide a pretty accurate estimate of waitlist wait time. That‘s orders of magnitude less than the data these sites have, but they are probably less accurate.
hikaru755@lemmy.world 4 hours ago
As you said these sites are likely to overrepresent waitlisted people. As a fellow waitlisted person, I’m using them to get an idea of how “bad” the situation is, i.e. to curb my expectations about moving to the reservation list at some point. Waitlisted people being overrepresented will make the situation look worse than it is, meaning I’m more likely to be positively surprised than negatively.